BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Paullina South O'Brien

Class: 1A Class Rank: 27 Conference: War Eagle Record: (11-18-0) Overall: (37-53-0) Overall Strength =   59.39

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 08/31/2001 Home    L *    61.30   0   3    A  9 ( 71- 31-  0) LeMars Gehlen           1.97     -4.97                      
 2 09/07/2001 Away    W      72.51  20  12   2A 25 ( 44- 49-  0) Cherokee Washington    13.18     -5.18                      
 3 09/14/2001 Away    L * *  62.64   6  20   1A  6 ( 62- 34-  0) Hartley HMS             3.31    -17.31                      
 4 09/21/2001 Home    L      54.27   7  36   2A  2 ( 78- 30-  0) Central Lyon CL-G-LR   -5.06    -23.94                      
 5 09/28/2001 Away    W      82.45  55  25   2A 47 ( 46- 50-  0) Missouri Valley        23.12      6.88                      
 6 10/05/2001 Away    L      47.37   7  35   2A  6 ( 56- 38-  0) Sioux Center          -11.96    -16.04                      
 7 10/12/2001 Home    W      85.00  42   0   2A 56 ( 28- 63-  0) Mapleton MVAO          25.68     16.32                      
 8 10/19/2001 Home    W   *  80.19  27   0   1A 35 ( 28- 63-  0) Sibley-Ocheyedan       20.86      6.14                      
 9 10/26/2001 Away    W      92.22  27   0   3A 47 ( 41- 54-  0) Sergeant Bluff-Luton   32.90     -5.90                      
10 09/06/2002 Away    W      96.33  42   0   2A 45 ( 34- 58-  0) Milford Okoboji        37.00      5.00                      
11 09/13/2002 Home    W      81.62  42   0   ZZ 55 ( 12- 32-  0) Wall Lake View Aubur   22.30     19.70                      
12 09/20/2002 Away    W      91.21  20   0   2A 15 ( 57- 43-  0) Sheldon                31.89    -11.89                      
13 09/27/2002 Home    L      57.33  21  41   3A 14 ( 65- 37-  0) Boyden-Hull-R Valley   -1.99    -18.01                      
14 10/04/2002 Away    L      46.37   0  29   2A  6 ( 56- 38-  0) Sioux Center          -12.96    -16.04                      
15 10/11/2002 Away    W      72.22  14   7   3A 47 ( 41- 54-  0) Sergeant Bluff-Luton   12.90     -5.90                      
16 10/18/2002 Home    W      82.94  49   0   1A 57 ( 14- 76-  0) Sloan Westwood         23.61     25.39                      
17 10/25/2002 Home    L   *  46.19  15  22   1A 35 ( 28- 63-  0) Sibley-Ocheyedan      -13.14      6.14                      
18 11/01/2002 Away    L      60.33  14  40   2A  2 ( 78- 30-  0) Central Lyon CL-G-LR    1.00    -27.00                      
19 09/05/2003 Home    L      21.28   0  30   2A 45 ( 34- 58-  0) Milford Okoboji       -38.05      8.05                      
20 09/12/2003 Away    W      69.68  27   0   ZZ 55 ( 12- 32-  0) Wall Lake View Aubur   10.35     16.65                      
21 09/19/2003 Home    W      84.16  23   7   2A 15 ( 57- 43-  0) Sheldon                24.83     -8.83                      
22 09/26/2003 Away    L      60.39   0  20   3A 14 ( 65- 37-  0) Boyden-Hull-R Valley    1.06    -21.06                      
23 10/03/2003 Away    L      55.37   7  27   2A  6 ( 56- 38-  0) Sioux Center           -3.96    -16.04                      
24 10/10/2003 Home    L      57.17   9  14   3A 47 ( 41- 54-  0) Sergeant Bluff-Luton   -2.16     -2.84                      
25 10/17/2003 Away    L      34.99  19  21   1A 57 ( 14- 76-  0) Sloan Westwood        -24.33     22.33                      
26 10/24/2003 Away    L   *  29.24   0  27   1A 35 ( 28- 63-  0) Sibley-Ocheyedan      -30.08      3.08                      
27 10/31/2003 Home    L      56.27   0  27   2A  2 ( 78- 30-  0) Central Lyon CL-G-LR   -3.06    -23.94                      
28 09/03/2004 Away    L      51.33   7  10   2A 45 ( 34- 58-  0) Milford Okoboji        -8.00      5.00                      
29 09/10/2004 Home    L * *  49.59  14  38   1A  6 ( 62- 34-  0) Hartley HMS            -9.74    -14.26                      
30 09/20/2004 Home    W *    94.95  43   0    A 24 ( 32- 62-  0) Hawarden West Sioux    35.62      7.38                      
31 09/24/2004 Away    L      39.58   0  31   ZZ 14 ( 55- 32-  0) Alta                  -19.75    -11.25                      
32 10/01/2004 Home    L *    36.38  13  28    A 26 ( 34- 59-  0) Marcus MMC            -22.95      7.95                      
33 10/08/2004 Home    W *    68.02  10   8    A  7 ( 53- 47-  0) Akron-Westfield         8.69     -6.69                      
34 10/15/2004 Away    L *    51.88  14  35   1A 11 ( 61- 37-  0) Hinton                 -7.44    -13.56                      
35 10/22/2004 Away    W   *  62.85  12   6   1A 32 ( 41- 49-  0) Sioux Central           3.53      2.47                      
36 10/29/2004 Home    W      82.72  21  10   ZZ  9 ( 39- 26-  0) Pocahontas Area        23.39    -12.39                      
37 09/02/2005 Home    W      72.28  21   0   2A 45 ( 34- 58-  0) Milford Okoboji        12.95      8.05                      
38 09/09/2005 Away    W * *  79.64  15  12   1A  6 ( 62- 34-  0) Hartley HMS            20.31    -17.31                      
39 09/16/2005 Away    W *    57.00  21  19    A 24 ( 32- 62-  0) Hawarden West Sioux    -2.33      4.33                      
40 09/23/2005 Home    W      68.52  35  34   ZZ 14 ( 55- 32-  0) Alta                    9.19     -8.19                      
41 09/30/2005 Away    W *    94.44  40   0    A 26 ( 34- 59-  0) Marcus MMC             35.11      4.89                      
42 10/07/2005 Away    W *   103.08  34   0    A  7 ( 53- 47-  0) Akron-Westfield        43.75     -9.75                      
43 10/14/2005 Home    W *    73.83  37  33   1A 11 ( 61- 37-  0) Hinton                 14.50    -10.50                      
44 10/21/2005 Home    L   *  50.80  13  16   1A 32 ( 41- 49-  0) Sioux Central          -8.53      5.53                      
45 10/28/2005 Away    L      60.78   0  14   ZZ  9 ( 39- 26-  0) Pocahontas Area         1.45    -15.45                      
46 09/01/2006 Away    L      72.37   0   3   2A  6 ( 56- 38-  0) Sioux Center           13.04    -16.04                      
47 09/08/2006 Home    W      85.25  32   7   2A 28 ( 28- 41-  0) Western Christian      25.92     -0.92                      
48 09/15/2006 Away    L   *  36.85   7  27   1A 32 ( 41- 49-  0) Sioux Central         -22.47      2.47                      
49 09/22/2006 Home    L *    63.83  14  20   1A 11 ( 61- 37-  0) Hinton                  4.50    -10.50                      
50 09/29/2006 Away    L *    41.00  14  28    A 24 ( 32- 62-  0) Hawarden West Sioux   -18.33      4.33                      
51 10/06/2006 Home    L   *  61.93   7  28   1A  2 ( 93- 23-  0) Inwood West Lyon        2.60    -23.60                      
52 10/14/2006 Away    W      82.34  20   0   ZZ 25 ( 25- 38-  0) Battle Creek-Ida Gro   23.02     -3.02                      
53 10/20/2006 Home    W *    81.02  27  12    A  7 ( 53- 47-  0) Akron-Westfield        21.69     -6.69                      
54 10/27/2006 Away    W * *  79.64  21  18   1A  6 ( 62- 34-  0) Hartley HMS            20.31    -17.31                      
55 08/31/2007 Home    L      65.32   7  14   2A  6 ( 56- 38-  0) Sioux Center            5.99    -12.99                      
56 09/07/2007 Away    L      61.30  13  15 1 2A 28 ( 28- 41-  0) Western Christian       1.98     -3.98                      
57 09/14/2007 Home    W   *  80.80  33   6   1A 32 ( 41- 49-  0) Sioux Central          21.47      5.53                      
58 09/21/2007 Away    L *    64.88   6  14   1A 11 ( 61- 37-  0) Hinton                  5.56    -13.56                      
59 09/28/2007 Home    W *    65.95  21   7    A 24 ( 32- 62-  0) Hawarden West Sioux     6.62      7.38                      
60 10/05/2007 Away    L   *  63.98   6  28   1A  2 ( 93- 23-  0) Inwood West Lyon        4.65    -26.65                      
61 10/12/2007 Home    W      66.29  21  14   ZZ 25 ( 25- 38-  0) Battle Creek-Ida Gro    6.96      0.04                      
62 10/19/2007 Away    L *    63.08   6  12    A  7 ( 53- 47-  0) Akron-Westfield         3.75     -9.75                      
63 10/26/2007 Home    W * *  80.59  21  14   1A  6 ( 62- 34-  0) Hartley HMS            21.26    -14.26                      
64 08/29/2008 Away    L      32.30   0  31   2A 28 ( 28- 41-  0) Western Christian     -27.02     -3.98  non-district        
65 09/05/2008 Home    L *    26.52   8  40   2A 33 ( 21- 26-  0) Unity Christian       -32.81      0.81  non-district        
66 09/12/2008 Away    L      20.99   7  23   1A 57 ( 14- 76-  0) Sloan Westwood        -38.33     22.33                      
67 09/19/2008 Home    L *    48.95   6   9    A 24 ( 32- 62-  0) Hawarden West Sioux   -10.38      7.38                      
68 09/26/2008 Away    W   *  57.85  15  14 3 1A 32 ( 41- 49-  0) Sioux Central          -1.47      2.47                      
69 10/03/2008 Away    L      22.24  13  49   1A 31 ( 42- 54-  0) Lawton-Bronson        -37.09      1.09                      
70 10/10/2008 Home    L *    25.83   0  44   1A 11 ( 61- 37-  0) Hinton                -33.50    -10.50                      
71 10/17/2008 Home    L   *  53.93   7  36   1A  2 ( 93- 23-  0) Inwood West Lyon       -5.40    -23.60                      
72 10/24/2008 Away    L * *  41.64   0  35   1A  6 ( 62- 34-  0) Hartley HMS           -17.69    -17.31                      
73 08/28/2009 Home    L      19.25   6  47   2A 28 ( 28- 41-  0) Western Christian     -40.08     -0.92  nd                  
74 09/04/2009 Away    L *    59.57  18  20   2A 33 ( 21- 26-  0) Unity Christian         0.24     -2.24  nd                  
75 09/11/2009 Home    W      48.94  34  19   1A 57 ( 14- 76-  0) Sloan Westwood        -10.39     25.39                      
76 09/18/2009 Away    L *    45.00  14  24    A 24 ( 32- 62-  0) Hawarden West Sioux   -14.33      4.33                      
77 09/25/2009 Home    L   *  40.80  12  25   1A 32 ( 41- 49-  0) Sioux Central         -18.53      5.53                      
78 10/02/2009 Home    L      42.18  20  33   1A 31 ( 42- 54-  0) Lawton-Bronson        -17.15      4.15                      
79 10/09/2009 Away    L *    43.88  14  43   1A 11 ( 61- 37-  0) Hinton                -15.44    -13.56                      
80 10/16/2009 Away    L   *  57.98   7  35   1A  2 ( 93- 23-  0) Inwood West Lyon       -1.35    -26.65                      
81 10/23/2009 Home    L * *  46.59   0  27   1A  6 ( 62- 34-  0) Hartley HMS           -12.74    -14.26                      
82 08/27/2010 Home    L      34.16   6  40   2A 15 ( 57- 43-  0) Sheldon               -25.17     -8.83  ND                  
83 09/03/2010 Away    W      63.03  20  13   1A 36 (  4-  6-  0) Holstein Ridge View     3.71      3.29  ND                  
84 09/10/2010 Home    W   *  71.66  22  14   1A 18 ( 14- 15-  0) Pocahontas PA-P-P      12.33     -4.33                      
85 09/17/2010 Away    L   *  50.98   0  35   1A  2 ( 93- 23-  0) Inwood West Lyon       -8.35    -26.65                      
86 09/24/2010 Away    L   *  55.12   6  41   1A  1 ( 97- 18-  0) Emmetsburg             -4.21    -30.79                      
87 10/01/2010 Home    L   *  23.19  12  42   1A 35 ( 28- 63-  0) Sibley-Ocheyedan      -36.14      6.14                      
88 10/08/2010 Away    W   *  64.65  23   7   1A 49 (  2-  7-  0) Alta-Aurelia            5.33     10.67                      
89 10/15/2010 Home    L * *  31.59   6  48   1A  6 ( 62- 34-  0) Hartley HMS           -27.74    -14.26                      
90 10/22/2010 Away    W   *  60.85  20  16   1A 32 ( 41- 49-  0) Sioux Central           1.53      2.47                      
      Averages              59.39  15.7 20.2

Best game:  103.08 = 34 point win over Akron-Westfield
Worst game:  19.25 = 41 point loss to Hull Western Christian
Team stdev:  19.62